Wednesday · June 3 · 7:10 pm ✦
ROYALS @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 79 degrees, clear, wind 3 mph in from lf
Final
ROYALS
5
Reds
2
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 5–2 Royals
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Royals | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 33% | 67% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Kansas City Royals | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Kansas City Royals | 59% | 41% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 46% | 54% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 46% | 54% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Royals this season
43–43
50% across 86 games
Reds this season
49–36
58% across 85 games