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Monday · June 1 · 7:10 pm ✦

ROYALS @ REDS

Great American Ball Park. · 73 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph l to r

Final

ROYALS 9
Reds 2

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 9–2 Royals

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Reds Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 27% 73% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 45% 55% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 56% 44% 4–4
Logistic Kansas City Royals 59% 41%
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 55% 45%
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 48% 52% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

44–43

51% across 87 games

Reds this season

49–37

57% across 86 games