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Tuesday · June 2 · 7:10 pm ✦

ROYALS @ REDS

Great American Ball Park. · 75 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph l to r

Final

Royals 3
REDS 4

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 3–4 Reds

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Reds Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 53% 47% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 49% 51% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 56% 44% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 49% 49% 3–3
Logistic Cincinnati Reds 43% 57%
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 41% 59%
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 49% 51% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

44–43

51% across 87 games

Reds this season

49–37

57% across 86 games