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Tuesday · June 2 · 7:10 pm ✦

ROYALS @ REDS

Great American Ball Park. · 75 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph l to r

Final

Royals 3
REDS 4

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 3–4 Reds

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Reds Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 53% 47% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 49% 51% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 56% 44% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 49% 49% 3–3 ✗
Logistic Cincinnati Reds 43% 57% — ✓
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 41% 59% — ✓
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 49% 51% 3–3 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games

Reds this season

82–73

53% across 155 games