Sunday · May 31 · 1:41 PM ✦
BRAVES @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 73 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph in from lf
Final
Braves
4
REDS
6
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 4–6 Reds
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Braves | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Braves this season
46–41
53% across 87 games
Reds this season
49–37
57% across 86 games