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Saturday · May 30 ✦

BRAVES @ REDS

Great American Ball Park.

Final

BRAVES 5
Reds 2

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 5–2 Braves

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Reds Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 45% 55% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 53% 47% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 53% 47% 4–5
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 44% 56% 3–4
Logistic Atlanta Braves 50% 50%
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 37% 63%
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 48% 52% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

46–41

53% across 87 games

Reds this season

49–37

57% across 86 games