Saturday · May 30 ✦
BRAVES @ REDS
Great American Ball Park.
Final
BRAVES
5
Reds
2
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 5–2 Braves
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Braves | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 53% | 47% | 4–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Atlanta Braves | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 37% | 63% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 48% | 52% | 4–4 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games