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Friday · May 29 ✦

BRAVES @ REDS

Great American Ball Park.

Final

BRAVES 8
Reds 3

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 8–3 Braves

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Reds Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 58% 42% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 60% 40% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 47% 53% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 49% 51% 5–4 ✗
Logistic Atlanta Braves 55% 45% — ✓
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 39% 61% — ✗
Consensus Atlanta Braves 52% 48% 4–4 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

86–76

53% across 162 games

Reds this season

82–73

53% across 155 games