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Friday · May 29 ✦

BRAVES @ REDS

Great American Ball Park.

Final

BRAVES 8
Reds 3

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 8–3 Braves

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Reds Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 58% 42% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 60% 40% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 47% 53% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 49% 51% 5–4
Logistic Atlanta Braves 55% 45%
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 39% 61%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 52% 48% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

46–41

53% across 87 games

Reds this season

49–37

57% across 86 games