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Saturday · May 23 ✦

CARDINALS @ REDS

Great American Ball Park.

Final

Cardinals 6
REDS 7

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 6–7 Reds

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cardinals Reds Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 35% 65% 2–4
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 35% 65% 2–4
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 40% 60% 3–4
Logistic Cincinnati Reds 47% 53%
Random Forest St. Louis Cardinals 68% 32%
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 43% 57% 3–4
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cardinals this season

27–17

61% across 44 games

Reds this season

30–15

67% across 45 games