Thursday · May 14 · 12:41 PM ✦
NATIONALS @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 58 degrees, sunny, wind 9 mph out to rf
Final
Nationals
1
REDS
15
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 1–15 Reds
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 40% | 60% | 2–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 29% | 71% | 3–5 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 57% | 43% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 60% | 40% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
27–19
59% across 46 games
Reds this season
30–15
67% across 45 games