Saturday · May 23 · 1:11 PM ✦
CARDINALS @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 71 degrees, cloudy, wind 10 mph r to l
Final
CARDINALS
5
Reds
1
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS
✗ WrongProjected: 2–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 5–1 Cardinals
58%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cardinals | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 29% | 71% | 2–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 27% | 73% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 36% | 64% | 2–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | St. Louis Cardinals | 57% | 43% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | St. Louis Cardinals | 67% | 33% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 42% | 58% | 2–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cardinals this season
89–66
57% across 155 games
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games