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Saturday · May 23 · 1:11 PM ✦

CARDINALS @ REDS

Great American Ball Park. · 71 degrees, cloudy, wind 10 mph r to l

Final

CARDINALS 5
Reds 1

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 2–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 5–1 Cardinals

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cardinals Reds Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 29% 71% 2–4
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 27% 73% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 36% 64% 2–4
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 38% 62% 3–4
Logistic St. Louis Cardinals 57% 43%
Random Forest St. Louis Cardinals 67% 33%
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 42% 58% 2–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cardinals this season

27–17

61% across 44 games

Reds this season

30–15

67% across 45 games