Wednesday · May 13 · 6:41 PM ✦
NATIONALS @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 61 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 12 mph out to cf
Final
NATIONALS
8
Reds
7
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 8–7 Nationals
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Washington Nationals | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 52% | 48% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 58% | 42% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 48% | 52% | 3–4 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
27–19
59% across 46 games
Reds this season
30–15
67% across 45 games