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Sunday · May 10 · 1:42 PM ✦

ASTROS @ REDS

Great American Ball Park. · 68 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph out to rf

Final

Astros 0
REDS 5

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 0–5 Reds

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Reds Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 42% 58% 4–5
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 49% 51% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 31% 69% 3–5
Logistic Houston Astros 58% 42%
Random Forest Houston Astros 51% 49%
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 46% 54% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

30–14

68% across 44 games

Reds this season

30–15

67% across 45 games