Sunday · May 10 · 1:42 PM ✦
ASTROS @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 68 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph out to rf
Final
Astros
0
REDS
5
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 0–5 Reds
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Astros | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 42% | 58% | 4–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 31% | 69% | 3–5 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Houston Astros | 58% | 42% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 51% | 49% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 46% | 54% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games