Tuesday · May 12 ✦
NATIONALS @ REDS
Great American Ball Park.
Final
NATIONALS
10
Reds
4
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 10–4 Nationals
57%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 40% | 60% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 41% | 59% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 56% | 44% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 43% | 57% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games