Friday · May 8 · 6:11 PM ✦
ASTROS @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 67 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph r to l
Final
ASTROS
10
Reds
0
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 10–0 Astros
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Astros | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 45% | 55% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Houston Astros | 53% | 47% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 35% | 65% | 2–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 49% | 51% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games