Saturday · May 9 · 4:10 pm ✦
ASTROS @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 75 degrees, sunny, wind 9 mph out to lf
Final
Astros
1
REDS
3
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 1–3 Reds
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Astros | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Houston Astros | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Houston Astros | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Astros this season
30–14
68% across 44 games
Reds this season
30–15
67% across 45 games