Saturday · April 25 · 7:18 PM ✦
TIGERS @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 72 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to rf
Final
Tigers
2
REDS
9
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 2–9 Reds
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Tigers | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Detroit Tigers | 62% | 38% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Detroit Tigers | 57% | 43% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 33% | 67% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Tigers this season
32–13
71% across 45 games
Reds this season
30–16
65% across 46 games