Sunday · April 26 · 1:41 PM ✦
TIGERS @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 64 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph in from lf
Final
TIGERS
8
Reds
3
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS
✗ WrongProjected: 2–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 8–3 Tigers
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Tigers | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 33% | 67% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 35% | 65% | 2–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 40% | 60% | 2–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 38% | 62% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Detroit Tigers | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Detroit Tigers | 66% | 34% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 45% | 55% | 2–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Tigers this season
32–13
71% across 45 games
Reds this season
30–16
65% across 46 games