Friday · April 24 · 6:40 pm ✦
TIGERS @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 78 degrees, overcast, wind 10 mph r to l
Final
Tigers
8
REDS
9
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 8–9 Reds
57%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Tigers | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 36% | 64% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 29% | 71% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 43% | 57% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Tigers this season
95–58
62% across 153 games
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games