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Saturday · April 11 · 4:10 pm ✦

ANGELS @ REDS

Great American Ball Park. · 69 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph l to r

Final

Angels 3
REDS 7

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 3–7 Reds

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Angels Reds Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 44% 56% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 44% 56% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Angels 53% 47% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Angels 53% 47% 4–4
Logistic Los Angeles Angels 54% 46%
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 40% 60%
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 48% 52% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Angels this season

31–15

67% across 46 games

Reds this season

31–16

66% across 47 games