Wednesday · April 1 · 12:41 PM ✦
PIRATES @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 73 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph r to l
Final
PIRATES
8
Reds
3
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 8–3 Pirates
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 69% | 31% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 52% | 48% | 3–4 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
48–42
53% across 90 games
Reds this season
50–39
56% across 89 games