Tuesday · March 31 · 6:40 pm ✦
PIRATES @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 83 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 16 mph r to l
Final
PIRATES
8
Reds
3
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 8–3 Pirates
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 42% | 58% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 60% | 40% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 50% | 50% | 4–4 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
26–21
55% across 47 games
Reds this season
31–16
66% across 47 games