Monday · March 30 · 6:40 pm ✦
PIRATES @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 76 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 14 mph in from rf
Final
Pirates
0
REDS
2
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 0–2 Reds
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 35% | 65% | 4–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 54% | 46% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 40% | 60% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 48% | 52% | 4–4 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
26–21
55% across 47 games
Reds this season
31–16
66% across 47 games