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Thursday · August 13 · 12:10 PM ✦

REDS @ WHITE SOX

Rate Field. · 78 degrees, cloudy, wind 5 mph in from lf

Final

REDS 9
White Sox 8

Our Pick

CHICAGO WHITE SOX, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Chicago White Sox · Actual: 9–8 Reds

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds White Sox Projected Result
Baseline Chicago White Sox 49% 51% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 58% 42% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Chicago White Sox 49% 51% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago White Sox 42% 58% 3–4
Logistic Cincinnati Reds 51% 49%
Random Forest Chicago White Sox 35% 65%
Consensus Chicago White Sox 48% 52% 4–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

64–59

52% across 123 games

White Sox this season

60–62

49% across 122 games