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Sunday · August 9 · 1:10 PM ✦

GUARDIANS @ WHITE SOX

Rate Field. · 86 degrees, cloudy, wind 9 mph r to l

Final

Guardians 3
WHITE SOX 5

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 3–5 White Sox

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Guardians White Sox Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 53% 47% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Chicago White Sox 47% 53% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 64% 36% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 55% 45% 4–3
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 54% 46%
Random Forest Chicago White Sox 41% 59%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 53% 47% 4–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Guardians this season

61–62

50% across 123 games

White Sox this season

60–62

49% across 122 games