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Saturday · July 25 · 6:10 pm ✦

ASTROS @ WHITE SOX

Rate Field. · 78 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph r to l

Final

ASTROS 4
White Sox 1

Our Pick

CHICAGO WHITE SOX, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Chicago White Sox · Actual: 4–1 Astros

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros White Sox Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 55% 45% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 56% 44% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Chicago White Sox 45% 55% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago White Sox 44% 56% 4–4
Logistic Chicago White Sox 43% 57%
Random Forest Chicago White Sox 29% 71%
Consensus Chicago White Sox 46% 54% 4–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

69–52

57% across 121 games

White Sox this season

60–62

49% across 122 games