← Back to the recap

Sunday · July 26 · 1:12 PM ✦

ASTROS @ WHITE SOX

Rate Field. · 90 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 4 mph in from rf

Final

Astros 3
WHITE SOX 12

Our Pick

CHICAGO WHITE SOX, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Chicago White Sox · Actual: 3–12 White Sox

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros White Sox Projected Result
Baseline Chicago White Sox 36% 64% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 55% 45% 4–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Chicago White Sox 49% 51% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Houston Astros 60% 40% 4–3 ✗
Logistic Chicago White Sox 47% 53% — ✓
Random Forest Chicago White Sox 46% 54% — ✓
Consensus Chicago White Sox 49% 51% 4–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

90–65

58% across 155 games

White Sox this season

81–81

50% across 162 games