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Thursday · July 9 · 1:11 PM ✦

RED SOX @ WHITE SOX

Rate Field. · 80 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph out to lf

Final

RED SOX 2
White Sox 1

Our Pick

CHICAGO WHITE SOX, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Chicago White Sox · Actual: 2–1 Red Sox

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox White Sox Projected Result
Baseline Chicago White Sox 38% 62% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Chicago White Sox 49% 51% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Chicago White Sox 45% 55% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago White Sox 47% 53% 3–3
Logistic Boston Red Sox 54% 46%
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 51% 49%
Consensus Chicago White Sox 48% 52% 3–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

67–57

54% across 124 games

White Sox this season

61–62

50% across 123 games