← Back to the recap

Tuesday · July 7 · 6:40 pm ✦

RED SOX @ WHITE SOX

Rate Field. · 76 degrees, clear, wind 6 mph in from lf

Final

RED SOX 8
White Sox 1

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 8–1 Red Sox

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox White Sox Projected Result
Baseline Chicago White Sox 44% 56% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 56% 44% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 51% 49% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 58% 42% 4–4 ✓
Logistic Boston Red Sox 54% 46% — ✓
Random Forest Chicago White Sox 41% 59% — ✗
Consensus Boston Red Sox 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

85–72

54% across 157 games

White Sox this season

81–81

50% across 162 games