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Thursday · September 24 · 1:20 PM ✦

MARLINS @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 65 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph in from cf

Final

Marlins 1
CUBS 2

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 1–2 Cubs

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Miami Marlins 51% 49% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 44% 56% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 35% 65% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 44% 56% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Chicago Cubs 44% 56% — ✓
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 40% 60% — ✓
Consensus Chicago Cubs 43% 57% 3–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

81–74

52% across 155 games

Cubs this season

77–80

49% across 157 games