Tuesday · September 22 · 6:40 pm ✦
MARLINS @ CUBS
Wrigley Field. · 61 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 14 mph in from cf
Final
MARLINS
8
Cubs
2
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 8–2 Marlins
59%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Cubs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 29% | 71% | 2–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 25% | 75% | 2–5 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 33% | 67% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Miami Marlins | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Miami Marlins | 57% | 43% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 41% | 59% | 3–4 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games