Wednesday · September 23 · 6:40 pm ✦
MARLINS @ CUBS
Wrigley Field. · 63 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 12 mph in from cf
Final
MARLINS
3
Cubs
2
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 3–2 Marlins
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Cubs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 51% | 49% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 38% | 62% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 54% | 46% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Chicago Cubs | 29% | 71% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games