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Tuesday · September 15 · 6:40 pm ✦

BRAVES @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 78 degrees, cloudy, wind 3 mph r to l

Final

BRAVES 6
Cubs 3

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 6–3 Braves

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 53% 47% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 58% 42% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 55% 45% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 60% 40% 5–4 ✓
Logistic Chicago Cubs 50% 50% — ✗
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 36% 64% — ✗
Consensus Atlanta Braves 53% 47% 4–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

86–76

53% across 162 games

Cubs this season

77–80

49% across 157 games