Sunday · September 13 · 1:20 PM ✦
PIRATES @ CUBS
Wrigley Field. · 71 degrees, cloudy, wind 10 mph in from lf
Final
PIRATES
4
Cubs
3
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 4–3 Pirates
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Cubs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Chicago Cubs | 46% | 54% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Chicago Cubs | 44% | 56% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games