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Saturday · September 12 · 1:20 PM ✦

PIRATES @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 83 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph out to cf

Final

Pirates 3
CUBS 4

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 3–4 Cubs

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 67% 33% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 65% 35% 4–2 ✗
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 53% 47% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 71% 29% 4–3 ✗
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 52% 48% — ✗
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 54% 46% — ✗
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 60% 40% 4–3 ✗
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

85–70

55% across 155 games

Cubs this season

77–80

49% across 157 games