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Friday · September 11 · 1:21 PM ✦

PIRATES @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 74 degrees, sunny, wind 9 mph r to l

Final

Pirates 2
CUBS 12

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 2–12 Cubs

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 47% 53% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 45% 55% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 49% 49% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 55% 45% 3–3 ✗
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 53% 47% — ✗
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 37% 63% — ✓
Consensus Chicago Cubs 49% 51% 3–3 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

85–70

55% across 155 games

Cubs this season

77–80

49% across 157 games