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Tuesday · September 1 · 6:40 pm ✦

BREWERS @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 90 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph out to cf

Final

BREWERS 9
Cubs 4

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 9–4 Brewers

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 38% 62% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 49% 51% 4–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 33% 67% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 49% 51% 4–4 ✗
Logistic Chicago Cubs 46% 54% — ✗
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 38% 62% — ✗
Consensus Chicago Cubs 43% 57% 4–4 ✗
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

92–67

58% across 159 games

Cubs this season

77–80

49% across 157 games