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Wednesday · September 2 · 6:40 pm ✦

BREWERS @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 92 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph l to r

Final

BREWERS 9
Cubs 5

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 9–5 Brewers

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Milwaukee Brewers 56% 44% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 40% 60% 3–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 47% 53% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Milwaukee Brewers 60% 40% 4–3 ✓
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 53% 47% — ✓
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 35% 65% — ✗
Consensus Chicago Cubs 50% 50% 4–3 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

92–67

58% across 159 games

Cubs this season

77–80

49% across 157 games