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Monday · August 31 · 6:40 pm ✦

BREWERS @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 11 mph out to cf

Final

Brewers 3
CUBS 17

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 3–17 Cubs

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 40% 60% 3–5 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 51% 49% 4–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 44% 56% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 36% 64% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 52% 48% — ✗
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 29% 71% — ✓
Consensus Chicago Cubs 43% 57% 3–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

92–67

58% across 159 games

Cubs this season

77–80

49% across 157 games