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Sunday · August 30 · 6:20 pm ✦

REDS @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 79 degrees, cloudy, wind 11 mph varies

Final

REDS 7
Cubs 5

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 7–5 Reds

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 45% 55% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 47% 53% 4–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 40% 60% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 44% 56% 3–4 ✗
Logistic Chicago Cubs 46% 54% — ✗
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 31% 69% — ✗
Consensus Chicago Cubs 43% 57% 3–4 ✗
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

82–73

53% across 155 games

Cubs this season

77–80

49% across 157 games