Saturday · August 29 · 1:20 PM ✦
REDS @ CUBS
Wrigley Field. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph out to cf
Final
Reds
5
CUBS
17
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS, comfortably
✓ CorrectProjected: 2–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 5–17 Cubs
65%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Cubs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 24% | 76% | 2–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 27% | 73% | 2–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 29% | 71% | 2–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 31% | 69% | 2–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Chicago Cubs | 47% | 53% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 54% | 46% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 35% | 65% | 2–4 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games