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Friday · August 28 · 1:21 PM ✦

REDS @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 77 degrees, sunny, wind 6 mph r to l

Final

REDS 10
Cubs 8

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 10–8 Reds

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 55% 45% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 51% 49% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 53% 47% 4–4 ✓
Logistic Chicago Cubs 46% 54% — ✗
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 29% 71% — ✗
Consensus Chicago Cubs 49% 51% 4–4 ✗
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

82–73

53% across 155 games

Cubs this season

77–80

49% across 157 games