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Tuesday · August 18 · 7:05 pm ✦

WHITE SOX @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 77 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph out to cf

Final

White Sox 3
CUBS 4

Our Pick

CHICAGO WHITE SOX, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Chicago White Sox · Actual: 3–4 Cubs

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick White Sox Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Chicago White Sox 62% 38% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Chicago White Sox 65% 35% 4–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Chicago White Sox 51% 49% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago White Sox 55% 45% 4–4 ✗
Logistic Chicago Cubs 37% 63% — ✓
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 41% 59% — ✓
Consensus Chicago White Sox 51% 49% 4–3 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

White Sox this season

81–81

50% across 162 games

Cubs this season

77–80

49% across 157 games