← Back to the recap

Wednesday · August 19 · 1:20 PM ✦

WHITE SOX @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 75 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph in from cf

Final

WHITE SOX 3
Cubs 0

Our Pick

CHICAGO WHITE SOX, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Chicago White Sox · Actual: 3–0 White Sox

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick White Sox Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 49% 51% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 49% 51% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Chicago White Sox 62% 38% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago White Sox 60% 40% 4–4 ✓
Logistic Chicago Cubs 46% 54% — ✗
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 32% 68% — ✗
Consensus Chicago White Sox 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

White Sox this season

81–81

50% across 162 games

Cubs this season

77–80

49% across 157 games