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Monday · August 17 · 7:05 pm ✦

WHITE SOX @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 72 degrees, clear, wind 3 mph r to l

Final

White Sox 5
CUBS 7

Our Pick

CHICAGO WHITE SOX, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Chicago White Sox · Actual: 5–7 Cubs

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick White Sox Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Chicago White Sox 58% 42% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Chicago White Sox 51% 49% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Chicago White Sox 53% 47% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago White Sox 53% 47% 4–3
Logistic Chicago White Sox 52% 48%
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 38% 62%
Consensus Chicago White Sox 52% 48% 3–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

White Sox this season

60–61

50% across 121 games

Cubs this season

59–63

48% across 122 games