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Sunday · August 16 · 2:14 PM ✦

CARDINALS @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 86 degrees, cloudy, wind 4 mph out to rf

Final

CARDINALS 11
Cubs 4

Our Pick

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS, comfortably

✓ Correct

Projected: 6–3 St. Louis Cardinals · Actual: 11–4 Cardinals

69%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cardinals Cubs Projected Result
Baseline St. Louis Cardinals 76% 24% 6–4
Pitcher-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 76% 24% 6–4
Platoon-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 87% 13% 8–3
Pitcher + Platoon St. Louis Cardinals 78% 22% 6–3
Logistic Chicago Cubs 50% 50%
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 39% 61%
Consensus St. Louis Cardinals 69% 31% 6–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cardinals this season

69–54

56% across 123 games

Cubs this season

59–63

48% across 122 games