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Tuesday · August 4 ✦

DODGERS @ CUBS

Wrigley Field.

Final

Dodgers 1
CUBS 5

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 1–5 Cubs

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Dodgers Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Dodgers 51% 49% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 56% 44% 4–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 51% 49% 5–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
Logistic Chicago Cubs 35% 65% — ✓
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 36% 64% — ✓
Consensus Chicago Cubs 46% 54% 4–4 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Dodgers this season

100–57

64% across 157 games

Cubs this season

77–80

49% across 157 games