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Wednesday · August 5 · 1:20 PM ✦

DODGERS @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 80 degrees, overcast, wind 9 mph out to cf

Final

Dodgers 6
CUBS 7

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 6–7 Cubs

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Dodgers Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Dodgers 53% 47% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 53% 47% 4–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 47% 53% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Dodgers 56% 44% 4–4 ✗
Logistic Chicago Cubs 42% 58% — ✓
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 38% 62% — ✓
Consensus Chicago Cubs 48% 52% 4–4 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Dodgers this season

100–57

64% across 157 games

Cubs this season

77–80

49% across 157 games