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Sunday · August 2 · 1:20 PM ✦

YANKEES @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 71 degrees, overcast, wind 13 mph in from lf

Final

YANKEES 2
Cubs 1

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 2–1 Yankees

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 38% 62% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 51% 49% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 45% 55% 4–5
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 51% 49% 4–4
Logistic New York Yankees 55% 45%
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 35% 65%
Consensus Chicago Cubs 47% 53% 3–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

64–58

52% across 122 games

Cubs this season

60–63

49% across 123 games