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Wednesday · July 22 · 7:10 pm ✦

TIGERS @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 70 degrees, clear, wind 10 mph in from cf

Final

TIGERS 5
Cubs 1

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 5–1 Tigers

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Tigers Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 35% 65% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 47% 53% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 35% 65% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 40% 60% 3–4
Logistic Chicago Cubs 42% 58%
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 39% 61%
Consensus Chicago Cubs 40% 60% 3–4
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Tigers this season

75–47

61% across 122 games

Cubs this season

61–63

49% across 124 games