← Back to the recap

Friday · July 31 · 1:20 PM ✦

YANKEES @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 77 degrees, cloudy, wind 11 mph r to l

Final

YANKEES 2
Cubs 0

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 2–0 Yankees

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 40% 60% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 35% 65% 3–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 49% 51% 4–5 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 42% 58% 4–5 ✗
Logistic Chicago Cubs 41% 59% — ✗
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 43% 57% — ✗
Consensus Chicago Cubs 41% 59% 4–4 ✗
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

83–76

52% across 159 games

Cubs this season

77–80

49% across 157 games