Tuesday · July 21 · 7:05 pm ✦
TIGERS @ CUBS
Wrigley Field. · 76 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 20 mph in from lf
Final
Tigers
2
CUBS
11
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 2–11 Cubs
62%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Tigers | Cubs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 31% | 69% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Chicago Cubs | 41% | 59% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Chicago Cubs | 29% | 71% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✓ |
All 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Tigers this season
95–58
62% across 153 games
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games