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Tuesday · July 21 · 7:05 pm ✦

TIGERS @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 76 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 20 mph in from lf

Final

Tigers 2
CUBS 11

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 2–11 Cubs

62%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Tigers Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 42% 58% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 47% 53% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 35% 65% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 31% 69% 3–4
Logistic Chicago Cubs 41% 59%
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 29% 71%
Consensus Chicago Cubs 38% 62% 3–4
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Tigers this season

75–47

61% across 122 games

Cubs this season

61–63

49% across 124 games